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Thoughts on current priced of the vintage ARAH line, buy or wait?
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02-23-2021, 11:49 AM
BeachheadMatt
He Who Remains
Join Date: Jun 2016
Location: Florida
Posts: 9,379
Great question/topic.
As the owner of a large O-ring collection, it is getting harder and harder to watch the prices rise and not sell off my O-ring Collection. I mean, so many figures are now fetching $100+ for one figure. Hell, just a few years ago, you could buy super rare Brazilian and UK figures for $25-$50, now some of the most common figures are selling for that amount.
When I used to buy up large lots, my magic number was $2. Meaning, I would try to win auctions without paying more than $2 per figure. It may sound crazy, but I was doing this quite frequently. Hell I once scored Night Force Lt Falcon and an original Cobra trooper for around $2 each.
As for why this is, I actually DON'T think it is due to the pandemic. I think part of it is because Hasbro went 6 straight years (roughly) without making any meaningful Joe product. I also think part of it is the explosion in popularity of 80's & 90's nostalgia. Lastly, and possibly the biggest part, I think it's because millennials (who grew up with GI Joe) have gotten older and now have better jobs and more disposable income.
Now, predicting the future is another story. Personally, I don't think the prices are going to fall anytime soon, and may still rise quite a bit more. I think there are a few things that could send prices falling. One, Hasbro could get serious about new GI Joe product (I'm sure most reading this are thinking, yeah F'n right, won't happen). The new Joe product would have to be good enough to make people abandon their O-ring joes. This doesn't seem likely at the moment.
The other thing that could make a difference, is that Baby Boomers and Gen xer's slowly start dying off. Their collections end up in estate sales, or sold off by their GenZ/IGen children, and eventually make their way to ebay. This is grim, and I'm sorry to bring it up, but this is the main way that I see prices falling.
Another possibility, is that there is some sort of "leap" in 3d printer technology in the future that allows people to make their own Black Major style replicates.
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