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01-30-2013, 11:55 AM | #1 |
Cobra Viper
Join Date: Oct 2008
Location: New Jersey
Posts: 197
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Okay, so we always wonder about production numbers, and Hasbro has always been closed lipped, BUT the numbers might have been right in our faces the entire time. Or at least the ablilty to calculate it. Now normally I would do ALL the research and in Hiss Tank fashion, you would all bash me, so here is what I am doing this time.
Hasbro released the Triple Win cards in 1984-1985. The card on the back says that you have 1 in 3 million chance of winning the grand prize. Presumably ONE grand prize. Now, this triple win was included in at least 13 figures packages and also the vehicles at the time. Now, I am aware that some items of each time frame did not get the cards. However, we know the universe of the cards. Here is what I need help with. We need to take an average ratio of triple win cards versus regular card issues. THEN we need to find out exactly how many figures and vehicles came with the TW cards. Then we will have the estimated production number for each item produced in these years. Ok, so FIRST two steps. Can someone list out all figures that came with TW. And Can someone list out all the vehicles that came with them. *We could always leave off the vehicles or count them at like a 4 to 1 ratio in the figure count…. In any event, doing so, would increase the total possible population for each figure, but that is okay. STEP TWO – Can someone search each of the carded figures in eBay/Stores/Collection etc. We can do this for EACH figure and get some type of common ratio. So the end math would look similar to this: So 3 millions triple wins that appear in every 4 unique figure packs and say there where 15 of such figures then that would be 800,000 per, for EXAMPLE… but let’s try to get this more concrete. Here is the back of a TW http://www.yojoe.com/archive/inserts...triplewin2.jpg Also, combat pay works the same way. Here is a copy of combat pay, that someone is willing to pay $32 for $20 of fake money, but none the less, see this RARE 1990 Gi Joe Money $20 Rock 'N Roll Military Combat Pay Figure Toy Insert | eBay on the back is says that there are 20,000 of these and the odds in winning are 1 in 150. So there are 3 million of these total combat pays… The other math adds up too. BTW looks like 3 million is a good marketing number. In any event. Same rules apply, how many 1990 figures came with combat pay and what portion. I would think that the CP ratio is higher for these figures and the production less. But hey, let’s all do the math and figure this out. Please post here and let me know some hard numbers. Chris |
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